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Goldman Sachs Predicts Bitcoin Price Consolidation Around $8,000 Before Continuing Up

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The break-neck speed rally of Bitcoin has left investors wondering where Bitcoin would finally stabilize. Goldman Sachs believes that $8,000 would be the consolidation level for the current rally.

Where does rally stop?

Bitcoin’s price may have smashed through the $5000, $6000 and $7000 levels over the past few weeks, but technical analysts expect it to go higher. The level at which consolidation is expected to occur is $8000, according to Goldman Sachs.

In a note to investors, Goldman Vice President Sheba Jafari wrote:

“The market has shown evidence of an impulsive rally since breaking above 6,044. Next in focus $7,941. Might consolidate there before continuing higher.”

Long term trend is up

While Goldman Sachs has cautioned against traders expecting a rapid surge past $8000, they expect it to go higher after some consolidation.

Referencing Elliott Wave Theory, Jafari writes:

“Given that this is just a third of five waves up, the implications are that bitcoin has potential to run further over time.”

Double the previous target

The current target price of $8000 is double the price of $4000 predicted by Sheba Jafari just four months ago. Given multiple factors including government regulation, hard forks, and new links to mainstream finance all tend to influence the price, looking at price charts in isolation is not sufficient to make a reliable forecast. Multiple analysts, including Ronnie Moas, have revised their price predictions upward for Bitcoin.

First Long-Term LedgerX Bitcoin Option Pegs Price at $10,000

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LedgerX just initiated its first long-term bitcoin futures option.

Called a Long-Term Equity Anticipation Security (LEAPS), the trade was matched by the platform this morning and is set to expire on December 28, 2018.

Under the terms of the deal, the buyer has the right to buy bitcoin at a price of $10,000 at that date, or almost a 30 percent premium on today’s price.

Yet, because the buyer only makes money if the price is more than $10,000 (called the strike price), the investment can be seen as a reflection of the level of confidence that the price will reach that level by the agreed upon date.

Such long term futures options have long been seen in the industry as a much needed sign of maturity, and could in part help pave the way for even more institutional money to enter the space.

In an exclusive interview with CoinDesk, LedgerX CEO Paul Chou sought to position the milestone as just the first of many more before the cryptocurrency market can truly be considered mature.

Chou said:

“There will be, I expect, a lot more trades down the line. This is the first one, but it at least gives you the first guess from different institutional traders as to what bitcoin’s dynamics will look like from now until 2018.”

The trade option was listed by LedgerX late Friday night, and to Chou’s surprise, two institutional investors agreed to the terms of the deal just one day later.

Under the terms, the buyer agreed to a price of $2,250.25 for the trade, meaning the seller collects that money if the price is less that $10,000 by the end of next year, and the buyer gets to purchase bitcoin at the strike price if it is higher.

Unlike a futures swap however, the buyer is not obliged to purchase the asset.

“If the price goes to zero, you don’t have to pay $10,000 for it,” Chou said. “But if a year from now it’s at $20,000, then you can exercise your options.”

Based on LedgerX’s own calculations (made using the Nobel-prize winning Black-Sholes financial markets model), the startup believes there is a 25 percent chance that bitcoin will reach that level in the allotted time.

Soft launch

While this is the first LEAPS financial instrument matched by New York-based LedgerX, they’ve been conducting increasingly high trade volumes since their soft launch a month ago.

As reported by CoinDesk, LedgerX traded $1 million in bitcoin derivatives its first week of trading, ending Oct. 20.

Since then, the first cryptocurrency firm to be granted a derivatives clearing organization (DCO) license by the CFTC has posted a $1 million day, a $1.6 million day and on November 15, a record $2.6 million day.

Since LedgerX listed the LEAPS option at 5:30 Friday evening, Chou says they saw an additional $500,000 traded before midnight. “That’s for a holiday week too,” he said. “So we were shocked.” He estimates the company has conducted approximately $16 million in notional bitcoin transactions to date.

While the startups numbers seem to indicated active early interest, legacy institutions such as the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME Group) and the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE)  have both recently revealed their own similar plans.

Though Chou hopes to maintain his first-mover advantage, he said there’s no hard date to launch into full operation. Rather, his team wants to make sure the platform scales well beyond the 1 million messages it sends per day before this milestone. He says he’d be “surprised if that takes “more than a month,” concluding:

Japanese Publicly Listed Companies Launch Cryptocurrency Exchanges in South Korea

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Two Japanese companies listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange have recently expanded their cryptocurrency operations into South Korea. One has partnered with a local company to launch a bitcoin exchange with a plan to add merchant services. The other held an ICO to develop a crypto exchange after launching a mobile game which allows users to earn bitcoin.

Also read: Bitcoin-Based Ethereum Rival RSK Set to Launch Next Month

Bitpoint Korea

Remixpoint Inc (3825.T), which operates the bitcoin exchange Bitpoint in Japan, recently launched a cryptocurrency exchange in South Korea called Bitpoint Korea.

Two Japanese Companies Launch Cryptocurrency Exchanges in South Korea
Representatives of Bitpoint and Sys & Tech.

To launch this exchange, the company partnered with a Korean company called Sys & Tech which develops Forex margin automated trading systems. “In this business tie-up, we supply virtual currencies and liquidity to the virtual currency trading system, while Sys & Tech will be responsible for [its] operations including marketing and customer correspondence. We will revitalize the Korean virtual currency market,” Remixpoint claimed.

Cryptocurrency services offered through the partnership include an exchange, spot transaction services, and money transmission services. The exchange currently supports BTC, BCH, and ETH. For further expansion into the Korean market, the company plans to provide merchant payment solutions to retail stores in the near future.

Two Japanese Companies Launch Cryptocurrency Exchanges in South Korea
Bitpoint Korea’s trading screenshot.

Metapsplus’ Coinroom

Headquartered in Tokyo, Metaps Inc (6172.T) is an app monetization platform which uses artificial intelligence and big data to maximize app revenue and optimize campaign performance. Its Korean subsidiary, Metapsplus Inc, develops mobile advertisement platforms.

The subsidiary raised approximately 1.1 billion yen in a token sale last month to develop and operate a cryptocurrency exchange called Coinroom, which it recently beta-launched. Coinroom currently lists BTC, BCH, ETH, ETC and the company’s own token called pluscoin (PLC).

Two Japanese Companies Launch Cryptocurrency Exchanges in South Korea
Coinroom’s trading screenshot.

Prior to launching Coinroom, Metapsplus launched a mobile game called Dig Land which it says players can earn bitcoin from. The game is available in 141 countries, the company detailed. Characters in the game dig minerals buried in the ground using various equipment and receive rewards in-game. The company says that there are several ways to earn bitcoin within the game including digging minerals and solving puzzles.

Competition and Regulatory Environment

The Korean won is currently the third most traded currency for bitcoin by volume, behind only the Japanese yen and US dollar. Bithumb is the country’s largest bitcoin exchange with about 70% of domestic bitcoin market share, followed by Coinone and Korbit. Last month, a platform with over 110 cryptocurrencies beta-launched. This platform, Upbit, is operated by Kakao Stock, a stock trading platform based on the country’s most popular chat app Kakao Talk.

While both Japan and South Korea are among top countries for cryptocurrency trading, they have very different regulatory environments. Japan has made bitcoin a legal method of payment, whereas South Korea is still working on its regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies. In addition, Japan does not have specific lawsgoverning initial coin offerings (ICOs), while Korea has banned them.

Your wallet, your freedom: Expert Blog

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Before Blockchain technology was invented, there were very few options if you needed to store value. You could either buy a safe and keep your valuables there – gold, jewelry, bank notes – or trust a third party like a bank, to do it for you. The modern banking system – the fractional reserve system –  only works if depositors leave their funds in their bank accounts. It is the most convenient, and until recently the most secure way to keep your money.

What do you get in exchange for leaving your money at the bank? You get close to a zero percent interest rate on your deposits and you have to pay fees to do pretty much everything, all the while mortgage rates are at three to four percent in the US. Not only that, but credit card companies charge you a 20 percent interest rate if you don’t pay the full balance at the end of the month, and most people think it’s totally normal because it’s all they ever knew. This is about to change.

The weakest link

The amazing thing about cryptocurrencies is that even though you still need to go through a centralized exchange – for now – to buy cryptocurrencies, you do not have to leave them there once you’ve bought them; you can withdraw them to your own wallet. Exchanges have always been the weakest link of the whole cryptocurrency ecosystem; they are notorious for being prone to hacks. The biggest was the Mt Gox hack in 2013 – 2014, when more than 750,000 of its customers’ Bitcoins were stolen ($470 mln at the time, more than $5 bln at today’s price).

Since then, more hacks happened although none quite as dramatic as the Mt. Gox one. These hacks are responsible for one of the greatest misunderstandings between Bitcoin – and cryptocurrencies in general – and the public: cryptocurrencies are not safe. So let’s set the record straight: the Bitcoin Blockchain itself has never been hacked and no existing technology can do it for the foreseeable future (the main threat in the distant future is quantum computing). The issue for many people is that the mechanics of the banking system are so ingrained in their brain they don’t understand that with cryptocurrencies you do not need a third party to hold your funds, you can do it yourself.

Get your coins in cold storage

When you leave your coins on an exchange, you do not actually own them, you have an “I owe you” from the exchange for the number of coins you have there. The exchange owns them on your behalf. This means that once again you are back to the old system where you have to trust a third party with your money.

Chart

The safest way to store your coins is actually to store them in your own wallet. It can take the form of a paper wallet you can generate here, where you will have your public key (to receive coins) and a private key (to send coins). There are also hardware wallets such as those made by Trezor or Ledger. When you send your coins to one of these types of wallets, you store them in “cold storage,” meaning that you store them offline.  You do not actually store any coin there – they are still on the Blockchain – but you store your private keys. The hardware wallet option is more secure as you never have to reveal your private keys; they are encrypted on the device and they are only used to sign transactions when required – when you want to send your coins. My personal preference goes to Ledger, not only because it is a French company (I’m biased here), but also because they have demonstrated an outstanding level of customer support. When the Bitcoin Cash hard fork happened on Aug. 1, they were among the very first to make the this new altcoin available to users.

The beauty of controlling your own private keys is that while exchanges can be hacked or shut down by governments and your assets and bank accounts seized or frozen, nobody can touch your coins. There is just no way this can happen if you take the right precautions. I already hear some of you whispering “money laundering” or “bypass capital controls.” While this is possible with certain cryptocurrencies (Bitcoin is ill-suited for that as all transactions are traceable), they offer a level of protection of your wealth that was unimaginable until Blockchain technology was invented. Go ask the people waiting in line in Zimbabwe to get their deposits out of the banks what they would think about not having to rely on a bank to hold their wealth…

A game changer for the unbanked and developing countries

Did you know that more than 2.5 billion people do not have a bank account? This is either because they are too poor to qualify, or because they do not have access to a local branch, or simply because they believe that they have no use for it. When you do not have the ability to save money, you are most likely forever trapped in poverty. Even if you manage to save a few bank notes every month, inflation destroys most of the value over time, especially if you live in a country that does not have a particularly strong currency. Look at the performance of fiat currencies in Africa and in South America over the past decades – it’s appalling.

Now for the first time in history there is a way to store wealth without relying on any third party, to be shielded from corrupt or incompetent governments, catastrophic monetary policies, and that you can send in seconds across the globe. If you stop looking at cryptocurrencies through the lense of developed countries you quickly realize that even though cryptocurrencies may be very attractive in developed countries, it is nothing close to the potential for disruption in the developing world.

While much of the talk is likely going to focus on Wall Street and investors in rich countries for the foreseeable future, make no mistake – people in developing countries will leapfrog to cryptocurrencies just like they leapfrogged to cell phones without going through the landline phase. This is yet another reason to be optimistic about cryptocurrencies.

Vincent Launay is a finance specialist at the World Bank in Washington DC. He holds an MSc in Finance from HEC Paris and a CFA charter. The views and interpretations in this article are his own and do not necessarily represent the views of the World Bank or Cointelegraph.

Blockchain Expo launches ICO track

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As firms increasingly develop their own cryptocurrencies, Blockchain Expo brings their first ICOs & Cryptofinance conference track to Silicon Valley this fall.

Following major ICOs in recent years, such as Bitcoin and Ether, many start-ups are entering the space with their own token sales. While they currently experience little regulation, many predict that this is to change as ICOs rise in popularity.

Join industry experts at Blockchain Expo to learn about complying with regulation, future-proofing initial coin offerings, and successfully promoting an ICO to investors. Speakers will also discuss lessons from their coin offerings, from coin development and launch, through to post-launch.

The ICO track comes as part of Blockchain Expo, the world’s largest blockchain exhibition and conference, coming to Santa Clara Convention Center on 29-30 November. Co-located with sister events IoT Expo and AI Expo, around 10,000 delegates are expected over the two days.

Amongst the agenda is a panel discussing self-regulation, risks and challenges of ICOs, and tools for token sales, led by CEO of Fintech World, Sydney Armani.  Alexander Ivanov, Founder of Waves, will deliver a keynote exploring the future of cryptocurrencies in an international trading environment. Marcello Monaco, COO of W3Coin, and Michael Terpin, Co-founder of BitAngels, are amongst the confirmed speakers to take to a panel to debate the changing venture capital model.

Serial entrepreneur and philanthropist Hob Khadka announced today his first decentralized travel eco system with end to end travel solutions launches blockchain-driven XcelTrip. Conceived as an “online travel aggregator with a human touch,” XcelTrip aims to bring the travel industry up to date with the cutting edge of both technology and progressive business practices.

Delegates will also have the opportunity to attend ICO Pitches, featuring XcelTrip, INS, Karma, ICON, Spectiv, XcelPay, XcelToken, and Starbase.

The ICO track is available for delegates with a gold or ultimate pass.

Read more about Blockchain Expo here.

Blockchain top business disrupter in 2018 – Dimension Data

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Blockchain is the technology with the greatest potential to disrupt and reshape digital business in 2018, according to Dimension Data.

The global technology company named distributed ledgers as top disrupter, ahead of AI, machine learning, robotics and VR/AR, and said that businesses that have not started the digital investment cycle are at “high risk of being disrupted”.

Blockchain came out on top due to its “immense potential to disrupt and transform the world of money, business, and society using a variety of applications”.

Ettienne Reinecke, Dimension Data’s Group Chief Technology Officer, said:

“Last year, when we looked at the top digital business trends for 2017, we predicted that centralised transaction models would come under attack. We were spot on.

“In the financial services sector, we’ve seen the US and European capital markets moving onto Blockchain platforms, and similar activity in markets such as Japan. Considering how conservative and compliance-focused this sector is, that’s quite remarkable.”

“DELIVERING ON THE PROMISE OF IOT”

Aside from the much-touted security and transparency benefits of distributed ledger technology, Reinecke believes that blockchain will also begin deliver on the promise of IoT in the coming years:

“In the world of IoT you’re generating millions of small transactions that are being collected from a distributed set of sensors. It’s not feasible to operate these systems using a centralised transactional model: it’s too slow, expensive, and exclusive.

“To extract the true value from IoT technology you have to be able to operate in real time. Once a sensor alert is received from a control system you must react to it, meter it, and bill for it instantly – all of which negates the viability of a centralised transactional authority. The cost of the transaction has to be near-zero or free, and the cost elements of a centralised model simply don’t support the potential business model in IoT.”

Dimension Data are predicting interesting blockchain-related developments in IoT and cybersecurity in 2018. There have been a number of significant attacks have been launched from low-cost IoT endpoints, and device manufacturers have little incentive to take on the cost of a security stack, leaving the devices vulnerable.

Dimension Data think that blockchain will play an important in securing these devices and IoT ecosystems.

Originally published on Blockchain Technology News.

ECB Council Member: Central Banks Considering Crypto Regulation

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A European Central Bank (ECB) governing council member said yesterday that lawmakers and central banks are examining whether they should regulate cryptocurrencies.

According to a Reuters report, Ewald Nowotny, president of the National Bank of Austria, said:

“We’re asking ourselves if legislators or central banks should intervene.”

Nowotny made his comments at a conference in Florence, Italy, according to the news source.

The regulatory focus comes following China’s recent crackdown on bitcoin exchanges, he said, adding that the authorities there considered cryptocurrencies “fraudulent.”

The council member took a neutral stance on the risks of cryptocurrencies such as bitcoin, though, saying, “It is like buying shares on the bourse … people investing in this product can suffer losses.”

Just a month ago, Mario Draghi, president of the ECB, said that cryptocurrencies are not “mature” enough to be regulated. And, in September, he indicated that his institution does not have the authority to regulate cryptocurrencies.

Also in September, China’s cryptocurrency exchanges received instructions from the country’s regulators, asking them to stop trading due to the fact that they are operating domestically without a formal license.

Ewald Nowotny image via Franz J. Morgenbesser/Flickr

The leader in blockchain news, CoinDesk is an independent media outlet that strives for the highest journalistic standards and abides by a strict set of editorial policies. Have breaking news or a story tip to send to our journalists? Contact us at [email protected]

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Asian Entrepreneur Gyanendra Khadka launches Blockchain-driven XcelTrip

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By J.S. Khalsa

San Jose, California

November 11, 2017

San Jose, CA – Serial entrepreneur and philanthropist Gyanendra Khadka announced today his first decentralized travel eco system with end to end travel solutions, XcelTrip, with an effective launch date of November 11th, 2017.

Conceived as an “online travel aggregator with a human touch,” XcelTrip aims to bring the travel industry up to date with the cutting edge of both technology and progressive business practices.

In a recent interview, Khadka alluded to breakthroughs in research and development that would allow XcelTrip to partner with countless businesses and local service providers worldwide who have largely been overlooked by established industry giants.

“We’ve looked at what’s happening with blockchain technology, and there is much to explore when it comes to how it can drive innovation in the travel industry,” Khadka said in a recent interview.

The company also sports a smartphone app that is expected to go above and beyond the functions utilized by existing online travel companies.

Khadka explained that his vision for XcelTrip extends beyond implementing cutting edge advances in technology: he considers himself a “people person” first and foremost, and XcelTrip aims to leverage technological advances while restoring the warmth and dynamism of traditional, face to face business acumen and salesmanship.

For more information, visit www.xceltrip.com, or contact [email protected]

A Minute’s Silence For Altcoins as Bitcoin Highs Slice Value Across Markets

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Bitcoin’s rise over $7,200 Thursday has piled pressure on already sidelined altcoin markets, leading many into freefall.

An analysis of Coinmarketcap’s top 20 altcoin listings shows a depressing picture as Bitcoin’s surge leaves many struggling to stay above multi-month lows.

Chart

Notable standouts are the Bitcoin Cash fork and controversial newcomer BitConnect, opportunistically riding enthusiasm surrounding the Bitcoin Core chain.

Altcoin losses extend to Ethereum, which lost over six percent in 24 hours, while fellow fork Ethereum Classic (ETC) dropped to its lowest BTC and USD price since May.

Bitcoin meanwhile is posting highs elsewhere, its market dominance reaching 62.4 percent – a climb of 2.2 percent in the past day.

Wall Street news propulsion and feverish activity prior to the SegWit2x hard fork are combining to increase market focus solely on BTC, with an altcoin resurgence failing to materialize since August.

Alts trading like expiring puts on .

Broad consensus suggests the return of alt markets must wait until after the hard fork. Bitcoin itself, however, could pull back sooner, with Cointelegraph reporting analyst Tone Vays today warning of an “inevitable pullback” towards $5,000.

LIVE NOW talking  new ATH of $7,000 & How High it can go before an inevitable  crash/pullback. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hLQgkwP7ATM 

New York Government Arrests Businessman Due to Alleged ICO Fraud

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The US Attorney’s Office Eastern District of New York has announced that New York-based businessman Maksim Zaslavskiy was arrested on Nov. 1, 2017, due to securities fraud conspiracy in connection with two initial coin offerings (ICO).

Zaslavskiy was recently accused by the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) of defrauding investors in the two ICOs.

According to acting US Attorney Bridget Rohde, Zaslavskiy and his cohorts were able to attract investors by pledging returns from the novel ICOs even though they knew that no real estate or diamonds were actually supporting the investments.

“As alleged, Zaslavskiy and his associates enticed investors by promising returns using novel ICOs even though Zaslavskiy knew that no real estate or diamonds were actually backing the investments.”

Based on the charge, one ICO was marketed as being supported by real estate assets, while the other ICO was claimed to be backed by diamonds.

The SEC charges against Zaslavskiy

In late September 2017, the SEC has filed charges against Zaslavskiy and two related firms, alleging that the businessman has misrepresented the amount he generated from the two ICOs. At the time, the SEC was also successful in securing a court order to freeze the assets of Zaslavskiy and the two companies.

The prosecutors in the case have further claimed that the purported assets that support the token sale did not actually exist. The two companies involved in the case are the Diamond Reserve Club (DRC) World and the REcoin Group Foundation.

The case is being handled by the Office’s Business and Securities Fraud Section, with Assistant US Attorney Julia Nestor appointed in charge of the prosecution. If proven guilty, Zaslavskiy faces up to five years in jail, as well as a fine.